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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 36.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| VfL Bochum | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 38.79% ( | 24.31% ( | 36.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.29% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.62% ( | 42.38% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.21% ( | 64.79% ( |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.13% ( | 21.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.89% ( | 55.11% ( |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.17% ( | 22.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.44% ( | 56.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| VfL Bochum | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 1-0 @ 7.59% ( 2-0 @ 5.77% ( 3-1 @ 4.32% ( 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 3-0 @ 2.92% ( 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 4-0 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 38.79% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0-0 @ 4.99% ( 3-3 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.31% | 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0-1 @ 7.38% ( 0-2 @ 5.45% ( 1-3 @ 4.08% ( 2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0-3 @ 2.68% ( 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.3% Total : 36.9% |

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99 | 32 | 67 | 82 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 69 |
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 60 |
| 4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 57 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 55 |
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 52 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 51 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 51 |
| 9 | Stuttgart | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 50 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 45 |
| 11 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 43 |
| 12 | Augsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 43 |
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 |
| 14 | St Pauli | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 32 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 |
| R | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 49 | 80 | -31 | 25 |
| R | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 25 |
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