

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 53.92%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 23.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Augsburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | VfL Bochum | 
| 53.92% ( | 22.24% ( | 23.83% ( | 
| Both teams to score 59.65% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 60.24% ( | 39.76% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 37.88% ( | 62.12% ( | 
| Augsburg Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 85.23% ( | 14.76% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.99% ( | 43.01% ( | 
| VfL Bochum Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.98% ( | 30.02% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.86% ( | 66.14% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Augsburg | Draw | VfL Bochum | 
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 1-0 @ 8.48% ( 2-0 @ 8.11% ( 3-1 @ 6.22% ( 3-0 @ 5.17% ( 3-2 @ 3.74% ( 4-1 @ 2.98% ( 4-0 @ 2.47% ( 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 5-0 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 3.12% Total : 53.92% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0-0 @ 4.43% ( 3-3 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 6.14% ( 0-1 @ 5.33% ( 0-2 @ 3.21% ( 1-3 @ 2.46% ( 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.04% Total : 23.83% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99 | 32 | 67 | 82 | 
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 69 | 
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 60 | 
| 4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 57 | 
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 55 | 
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 52 | 
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 51 | 
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 51 | 
| 9 | Stuttgart | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 50 | 
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 45 | 
| 11 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 43 | 
| 12 | Augsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 43 | 
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 | 
| 14 | St Pauli | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 | 
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 32 | 
| 16 | Heidenheim | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 | 
| R | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 49 | 80 | -31 | 25 | 
| R | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 25 | 
| > Bundesliga Full Table | |||||||||
