Hoffenheim

3 - 1

VfL Bochum

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.59%) and 1-0 (5.32%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.