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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.61%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Freiburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | VfL Bochum | 
| 41.87% (  0.39) | 23.14% (  0.15) | 34.99% (  -0.55) | 
| Both teams to score 64.38% (  -0.73) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 63.06% (  -0.89) | 36.94% (  0.9) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 40.88% (  -0.98) | 59.12% (  0.98) | 
| Freiburg Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 81.85% (  -0.2) | 18.15% (  0.21) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.88% (  -0.35) | 49.12% (  0.35) | 
| VfL Bochum Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.66% (  -0.69) | 21.35% (  0.69) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.69% (  -1.07) | 54.31% (  1.08) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Freiburg | Draw | VfL Bochum | 
| 2-1 @ 8.71% (  0.09) 1-0 @ 6.61% (  0.24) 2-0 @ 5.64% (  0.17) 3-1 @ 4.96% (  0.02) 3-2 @ 3.83% (  -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.21% (  0.08) 4-1 @ 2.11% (  -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.63% (  -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.37% (  0.02) Other @ 3.79% Total : 41.87% | 1-1 @ 10.21% (  0.17) 2-2 @ 6.73% (  -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.87% (  0.17) 3-3 @ 1.97% (  -0.08) Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.14% | 1-2 @ 7.88% (  -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.98% (  0.14) 0-2 @ 4.62% (  0.01) 1-3 @ 4.06% (  -0.11) 2-3 @ 3.46% (  -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.38% (  -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.57% (  -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.34% (  -0.07) 0-4 @ 0.92% (  -0.04) Other @ 2.78% Total : 34.99% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99 | 32 | 67 | 82 | 
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 69 | 
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 60 | 
| 4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 57 | 
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 55 | 
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 52 | 
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 51 | 
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 51 | 
| 9 | Stuttgart | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 50 | 
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 45 | 
| 11 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 43 | 
| 12 | Augsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 43 | 
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 | 
| 14 | St Pauli | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 | 
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 32 | 
| 16 | Heidenheim | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 | 
| R | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 49 | 80 | -31 | 25 | 
| R | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 25 | 
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