Augsburg logo
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bayern logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Sep 1, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Freiburg logo

Bayern
2 - 0
Freiburg

Kane (38' pen.), Muller (78')
Upamecano (31')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 3-1 Stuttgart
Saturday, August 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 77.27%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 8.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.28%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (2.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawFreiburg
77.27% (-0.253 -0.25)13.82% (0.214 0.21)8.91% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.16% (-0.814 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.45% (-1.029 -1.03)29.55% (1.027 1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.35% (-1.259 -1.26)50.64% (1.257 1.26)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.79% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)6.2% (0.2599 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.55% (-0.73399999999999 -0.73)23.45% (0.731 0.73)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.74% (-0.706 -0.71)42.26% (0.704 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.34% (-0.614 -0.61)78.66% (0.61200000000001 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 77.27%
    Freiburg 8.91%
    Draw 13.82%
Bayern MunichDrawFreiburg
2-0 @ 10.13% (0.291 0.29)
3-0 @ 9.39% (0.128 0.13)
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
3-1 @ 8.09% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
1-0 @ 7.29% (0.317 0.32)
4-0 @ 6.52% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.62% (-0.119 -0.12)
5-0 @ 3.63% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.48% (-0.088 -0.09)
5-1 @ 3.13% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-2 @ 2.42% (-0.099 -0.1)
6-0 @ 1.68% (-0.055 -0.05)
6-1 @ 1.45% (-0.077 -0.08)
5-2 @ 1.35% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 77.27%
1-1 @ 6.28% (0.157 0.16)
2-2 @ 3.76% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-0 @ 2.62% (0.152 0.15)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 13.82%
1-2 @ 2.7% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 2.26% (0.09 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 0.97% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 8.91%

How you voted: Bayern vs Freiburg

Bayern Munich
90.5%
Draw
6.0%
Freiburg
3.6%
84
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 24
Freiburg
2-2
Bayern
Gunter (12'), Holer (87')
Holer (90+4')
Tel (35'), Musiala (75')
Tel (73'), Pavlovic (79')
Oct 8, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 7
Bayern
3-0
Freiburg
Coman (12', 85'), Sane (25')
Mazraoui (16')
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
Freiburg
0-1
Bayern
De Ligt (51')
Apr 4, 2023 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Bayern
1-2
Freiburg
Upamecano (19')
Hofler (27'), Holer (90+5' pen.)
Oct 16, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 10
Bayern
5-0
Freiburg
Gnabry (13'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (33'), Sane (52'), Mane (55'), Sabitzer (80')