

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 62.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 17.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 1-0 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Freiburg |
| 62.31% ( | 19.72% ( | 17.97% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.27% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.99% ( | 36.01% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.89% ( | 58.1% ( |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.9% ( | 11.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 64.49% ( | 35.51% ( |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.68% ( | 33.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.06% ( | 69.94% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Freiburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 2-0 @ 8.94% ( 1-0 @ 8.13% ( 3-1 @ 7.2% ( 3-0 @ 6.55% ( 3-2 @ 3.95% ( 4-1 @ 3.95% ( 4-0 @ 3.6% ( 4-2 @ 2.17% ( 5-1 @ 1.74% ( 5-0 @ 1.58% ( 5-2 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 3.72% Total : 62.31% | 1-1 @ 8.94% ( 2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0-0 @ 3.7% ( 3-3 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 19.72% | 1-2 @ 4.91% ( 0-1 @ 4.07% ( 0-2 @ 2.23% ( 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 1-3 @ 1.8% ( Other @ 2.98% Total : 17.97% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
| 2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
| 5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
| 6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
| 7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
| 9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
| 13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
| 15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
| 16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
| 17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
| R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
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