MX23RW : Thursday, March 6 20:22:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Bayern logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 15, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Leverkusen logo

Bayern
2 - 2
B. Leverkusen

Kane (7'), Goretzka (86')
Tuchel (25')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Grimaldo (24'), Palacios (90+4' pen.)
Hofmann (34'), Wirtz (47'), Tapsoba (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bayern Munich 3-2 Bayer Leverkusen

With plenty of confidence from their own fine start, Bayer Leverkusen will hope to catch out the defending champions at the Allianz Arena after the international break, and they should certainly cause the Bavarians problems with their attacking quality. We do, however, see Tuchel's men having just enough to outscore Die Werkself and take all three points from a tough test on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawBayer Leverkusen
47.84% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09) 22.85% (-0.163 -0.16) 29.3% (0.25 0.25)
Both teams to score 62.74% (0.76900000000001 0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.03% (0.936 0.94)37.97% (-0.938 -0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.77% (0.991 0.99)60.23% (-0.993 -0.99)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.78% (0.31999999999999 0.32)16.22% (-0.322 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.28% (0.581 0.58)45.72% (-0.583 -0.58)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.89% (0.631 0.63)25.11% (-0.634 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.19% (0.866 0.87)59.81% (-0.866 -0.87)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 47.84%
    Bayer Leverkusen 29.3%
    Draw 22.84%
Bayern MunichDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.41% (-0.254 -0.25)
2-0 @ 6.74% (-0.156 -0.16)
3-1 @ 5.65% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.09% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.9% (0.094 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.57% (0.044 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.86% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.061 0.06)
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 47.84%
1-1 @ 10.23% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 6.43% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
0-0 @ 4.07% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.8% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.84%
1-2 @ 7.07% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.63% (-0.151 -0.15)
0-2 @ 3.89% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.26% (0.067 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.96% (0.093 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.043 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 29.3%

How you voted: Bayern vs B. Leverkusen

Bayern Munich
68.2%
Draw
18.2%
Bayer Leverkusen
13.5%
148
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 25
B. Leverkusen
2-1
Bayern
Palacios (55' pen., 73' pen.)
Kimmich (22')
Sep 30, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 8
Bayern
4-0
B. Leverkusen
Sane (3'), Musiala (17'), Mane (39'), Muller (84')
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 25
Bayern
1-1
B. Leverkusen
Sule (18')
Coman (72')
Muller (36' og.)
Bakker (32'), Demirbay (54')
Oct 17, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
B. Leverkusen
1-5
Bayern
Schick (55')
Lewandowski (4', 30'), Muller (34'), Gnabry (35', 37')
Apr 20, 2021 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern24194172205261
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen24158155282753
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt24126650371342
4Mainz 05Mainz24125739251441
5Freiburg2412483436-240
6RB Leipzig2410863933638
7Wolfsburg24107748381037
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach2411493835337
9Stuttgart2410684237536
10Borussia DortmundDortmund2410594538735
11Augsburg248882735-832
12Werder Bremen2486103649-1330
13Hoffenheim2467113146-1525
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin2466122136-1524
15St Pauli2463151829-1121
16Holstein Kiel2444163559-2416
17Heidenheim2443172750-2315
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum2436152248-2615


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!