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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
47.84% (![]() | 22.85% (![]() | 29.3% (![]() |
Both teams to score 62.74% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.03% (![]() | 37.97% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.77% (![]() | 60.23% (![]() |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.78% (![]() | 16.22% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.28% (![]() | 45.72% (![]() |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.89% (![]() | 25.11% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.19% (![]() | 59.81% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
2-1 @ 9.31% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.41% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.74% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.65% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.09% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.9% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.86% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.77% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 3.62% Total : 47.84% | 1-1 @ 10.23% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.43% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.07% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.8% ( ![]() Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.84% | 1-2 @ 7.07% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.63% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.89% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.26% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.96% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 2.55% Total : 29.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 72 | 20 | 52 | 61 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 24 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 55 | 28 | 27 | 53 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 42 |
4 | Mainz 05Mainz | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 41 |
5 | Freiburg | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 40 |
6 | RB Leipzig | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 38 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 37 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 37 |
9 | Stuttgart | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 36 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 35 |
11 | Augsburg | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 32 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 30 |
13 | Hoffenheim | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 25 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 24 |
15 | St Pauli | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 21 |
16 | Holstein Kiel | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 16 |
17 | Heidenheim | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 27 | 50 | -23 | 15 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 48 | -26 | 15 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |