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Europa League

Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 6, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Arena Nationala
Lyon

FCSB
1 - 3
Lyon

Baluta (68')
Sut (11'), Miculescu (47')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tagliafico (30'), Fofana (86', 89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between FCSB and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FCSB

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Rapid Bucuresti 0-0 FCSB
Sunday, March 2 at 6pm in Romanian SuperLiga

Lyon

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Lyon 2-1 Brest
Sunday, March 2 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 51.05%. A win for FCSB had a probability of 25.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest FCSB win was 2-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
FCSBDrawLyon
25.44% (0.0039999999999978 0)23.51%51.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 57.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)43.97% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)66.35% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
FCSB Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.01% (0.007000000000005 0.01)30.98% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.71% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)67.29% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.72% (0.0010000000000048 0)17.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.38% (0.0010000000000048 0)47.62% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    FCSB 25.44%
    Lyon 51.05%
    Draw 23.5%
FCSBDrawLyon
2-1 @ 6.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 6.27%
2-0 @ 3.68%
3-1 @ 2.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.21% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 25.44%
1-1 @ 11.01%
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.5%
1-2 @ 9.67%
0-1 @ 9.4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 8.25% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 5.66%
0-3 @ 4.83% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.48%
0-4 @ 2.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 51.05%

How you voted: FCSB vs Lyon

FCSB
25.1%
Draw
15.8%
Lyon
59.0%
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