Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 52.59%. A win for FCSB had a probability of 24.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest FCSB win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Qarabag FK	Draw	FCSB
52.59% ( 0.01)	23.2% ( -0)	24.21% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 56.8% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.27% (

-0.01)

43.73% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.88% (

-0.01)

66.12% (

0.01)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.37% (

16.63% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.53% (

46.47% (

-0.01)

FCSB Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.14% (

-0.02)

31.86% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.69% (

-0.02)

68.3% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Qarabag FK 52.59%

FCSB 24.21%

Draw 23.19%

Qarabag FK	Draw	FCSB
2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.51% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.53% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.83% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.1% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.34% 4-1 @ 2.62% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.21% Total : 52.59%	1-1 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.19%	1-2 @ 6.22% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.06% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 24.21%