Potential new EL header

Europa League

Qarabag
Europa League | League Stage
Oct 24, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Tofiq Bahramov adina Respublika stadionu (Baki (Baku))
Ajax

Qarabag
0 - 3
Ajax


Cafarquliyev (15'), Huseynov (22'), Benzia (45+4'), Medina (73'), Jankovic (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Taylor (36'), Weghorst (74' pen.), Akpom (77')
Taylor (20'), Fitz-Jim (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Qarabag FK and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qarabag FK

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Last Game: Qarabag 1-2 Malmo
Thursday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Ajax

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Heracles 3-4 Ajax
Sunday, October 20 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 55.18%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 23.73% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.32%) and 0-1 (7.05%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 2-1 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Qarabag FKDrawAjax
23.73% (-8.99 -8.99)21.09% (-1.914 -1.91)55.18% (10.901 10.9)
Both teams to score 63.77% (-0.371 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.69% (2.628 2.63)34.31% (-2.63 -2.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.78% (2.907 2.91)56.21% (-2.909 -2.91)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.91% (-4.53 -4.53)27.09% (4.53 4.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.52% (-6.318 -6.32)62.47% (6.317 6.32)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.47% (4.637 4.64)12.53% (-4.639 -4.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.44% (8.863 8.86)38.56% (-8.865 -8.87)
Score Analysis
    Qarabag FK 23.73%
    Ajax 55.18%
    Draw 21.09%
Qarabag FKDrawAjax
2-1 @ 6.01% (-1.553 -1.55)
1-0 @ 4.43% (-1.334 -1.33)
2-0 @ 2.9% (-1.399 -1.4)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.59 -0.59)
3-1 @ 2.62% (-1.138 -1.14)
3-0 @ 1.26% (-0.871 -0.87)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 23.73%
1-1 @ 9.21% (-0.951 -0.95)
2-2 @ 6.24% (-0.422 -0.42)
0-0 @ 3.4% (-0.479 -0.48)
3-3 @ 1.88% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 21.09%
1-2 @ 9.56% (0.609 0.61)
0-2 @ 7.32% (1.31 1.31)
0-1 @ 7.05% (0.226 0.23)
1-3 @ 6.62% (1.361 1.36)
0-3 @ 5.07% (1.537 1.54)
2-3 @ 4.32% (0.408 0.41)
1-4 @ 3.44% (1.12 1.12)
0-4 @ 2.63% (1.076 1.08)
2-4 @ 2.24% (0.519 0.52)
1-5 @ 1.43% (0.612 0.61)
0-5 @ 1.09% (0.545 0.55)
3-4 @ 0.98% (0.121 0.12)
2-5 @ 0.93% (0.324 0.32)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 55.18%

How you voted: Qarabag vs Ajax

Qarabag FK
19.8%
Draw
14.9%
Ajax
65.3%
202
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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