Europa League | League Stage
Sep 26, 2024 at 8pm UK
Amsterdam ArenA
Ajax4 - 0Besiktas
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 Ajax
Saturday, September 21 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, September 21 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Besiktas 2-1 Eyupspor
Sunday, September 22 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Sunday, September 22 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
We said: Ajax 2-2 Besiktas
Ajax have won back-to-back home matches by an aggregate scoreline of 8-0 recently, although the visit of Besiktas should pose a much sterner test for the Dutch giants on Thursday. The Black Eagles are unbeaten this season, and we expect that run to extend to nine matches in Amsterdam, but it is likely that they will have to settle for a point. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 55.87%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 22.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Besiktas |
55.87% ( 2.65) | 21.76% ( -0.7) | 22.36% ( -1.96) |
| Both teams to score 59.42% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
