Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 63.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Besiktas had a probability of 16.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Besiktas win it was 1-2 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.