The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Libertadores clash between Fortaleza and Estudiantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 3-2 Fortaleza
Sunday, June 26 at 1am in Brasileiro
Sunday, June 26 at 1am in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Cuiaba | 14 | -7 | 13 |
| 19 | Juventude | 14 | -12 | 11 |
| 20 | Fortaleza | 14 | -7 | 10 |
Last Game: Estudiantes 0-2 Newell's OB
Saturday, June 25 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, June 25 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Racing Club | 14 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
We said: Fortaleza 2-1 Estudiantes
While Fortaleza's form on the domestic front has been more than concerning, Vojvoda's men have shown themselves to be a different side in South America's premier competition this season, and they will be keen to gain an advantage on home turf. We back them to narrowly triumph on Friday, with everything still in the balance for next week's second leg in Argentina. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 41%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | Estudiantes |
32.02% ( 0.02) | 26.98% ( 0.01) | 41% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.26% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
