Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 16
Aug 7, 2022 at 2pm UK
 

Gomel
4 - 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Baga (17'), Pantya (52'), Sedko (54'), Kozlovskiy (84')
Costrov (43'), Makas (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Matsiash (71')
Boudega (60'), Lyakh (90+3')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Gomel and Arsenal Dzerzhinsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gomel

Last Six:
Last Game: Gomel 1-2 Aris
Wednesday, July 27 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Last Six:
Last Game: BATE 1-2 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Friday, July 15 at 4pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 45.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 26.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 0-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gomel would win this match.

Result
GomelDrawArsenal Dzerzhinsk
45.76% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)27.45% (0.073999999999998 0.07)26.78% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.23% (-0.192 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.28% (-0.249 -0.25)58.72% (0.254 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.74% (-0.194 -0.19)79.25% (0.19799999999999 0.2)
Gomel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.37% (-0.15100000000001 -0.15)25.63% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.47% (-0.207 -0.21)60.53% (0.211 0.21)
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.17% (-0.129 -0.13)37.83% (0.134 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.39% (-0.127 -0.13)74.61% (0.13200000000001 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Gomel 45.76%
    Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 26.78%
    Draw 27.45%
GomelDrawArsenal Dzerzhinsk
1-0 @ 13.2% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.96% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 45.76%
1-1 @ 12.83% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.7% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.45%
0-1 @ 9.43% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.24% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.58% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 26.78%

Head to Head
Mar 20, 2022 11am
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1-2
Gomel
Kiyko (80')
Khvalko (54')
Gogolashvili (44' pen.), Makas (56')
Kuchinski (22'), Adeola (84')
Sokol (67')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MKK-Dnepr119202161529
2Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr117221911823
3Dinamo Minsk107211610623
4IslochIsloch1156023101321
5Dinamo BrestDinamo Brest1163222111121
6Torpedo-BelAZTorpedo-BelAZ11452117417
7FC MinskFC Minsk115241620-417
8Neman10505138515
9Gomel1143486215
10Vitebsk114251915414
11BATE BorisovBATE114251314-114
12Naftan113171021-1110
13Arsenal Dzerzhinsk111641218-69
14SlutskSlutsk11227817-98
15Smorgon11128619-135
16FC MolodechnoMolodechno110011529-240
> Belarusian Premier League Full Table


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