Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Arsenal Dzerzhinsk and Shakhtyor Soligorsk.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: FC Minsk 2-0 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Thursday, May 26 at 4pm in Belarusian Premier League
Thursday, May 26 at 4pm in Belarusian Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Dnepr Mogilev | 11 | -14 | 5 | 
| 15 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 10 | -10 | 4 | 
| 16 | Dinamo Brest | 10 | -11 | 4 | 
Last Game: Soligorsk 2-0 Vitebsk
Saturday, May 28 at 5pm in Belarusian Premier League
Saturday, May 28 at 5pm in Belarusian Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | FC Minsk | 10 | 4 | 19 | 
| 5 | Shakhtyor Soligorsk | 10 | 7 | 18 | 
| 6 | Isloch | 11 | 3 | 18 | 
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 52.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 20.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.08%) and 1-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 1-0 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtyor Soligorsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | Draw | Shakhtyor Soligorsk | 
| 20.58% (  0.11) | 26.47% (  0.01) | 52.96% (  -0.13) | 
| Both teams to score 42.83% (  0.11) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 40.04% (  0.06) | 59.96% (  -0.06) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 19.8% (  0.05) | 80.21% (  -0.05) | 
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 55.5% (  0.16) | 44.5% (  -0.16) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | 
| 19.47% (  0.13) | 80.53% (  -0.13) | 
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.17% (  -0.03) | 22.83% (  0.03) | 




 





