Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.