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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Chicago Fire | 21 | -6 | 23 |
| 8 | Sporting Kansas City | 22 | -15 | 20 |
| 9 | Toronto | 21 | -13 | 19 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Los Angeles FC | 20 | 16 | 42 |
| 2 | Real Salt Lake | 21 | 2 | 33 |
| 3 | Minnesota United | 21 | 4 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 36.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 38.99% ( | 24.78% ( | 36.22% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.3% ( | 44.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.94% ( | 67.06% ( |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.21% ( | 22.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.5% ( | 56.5% ( |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.75% ( | 24.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.39% | 58.61% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 2-1 @ 8.56% 1-0 @ 8.17% 2-0 @ 6.04% ( 3-1 @ 4.22% ( 3-2 @ 2.99% 3-0 @ 2.98% ( 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 4-0 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.26% Total : 38.99% | 1-1 @ 11.57% 2-2 @ 6.07% 0-0 @ 5.53% ( 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.78% | 1-2 @ 8.2% 0-1 @ 7.83% ( 0-2 @ 5.55% ( 1-3 @ 3.87% ( 2-3 @ 2.86% 0-3 @ 2.62% 1-4 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.97% Total : 36.22% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 27 |
| 2 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 24 |
| 3 | Nashville SCNashville | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 22 |
| 4 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 18 |
| 6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 18 |
| 8 | DC United | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 | Orlando City | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 15 |
| 13 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 | Toronto | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 13 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 22 |
| 3 | Dallas | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 22 |
| 4 | St Louis City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 20 |
| 5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 18 |
| 6 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 15 |
| 8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 13 |
| 11 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
