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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 1 | 24 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 14 | 3 | 20 |
| 5 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 16 | -3 | 20 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 1 | 17 |
| 7 | Sporting Kansas City | 17 | -9 | 16 |
| 8 | Toronto | 15 | -8 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 65.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 13.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.86%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 65.21% ( | 21.1% ( | 13.68% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.65% ( | 50.35% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.71% ( | 72.29% ( |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.31% ( | 14.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.14% ( | 42.86% ( |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.37% ( | 47.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.04% ( | 82.96% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 1-0 @ 13.41% ( 2-0 @ 12.86% ( 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 3-0 @ 8.23% ( 3-1 @ 6.1% ( 4-0 @ 3.95% ( 4-1 @ 2.93% ( 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 5-0 @ 1.51% ( 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 4-2 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2.18% Total : 65.19% | 1-1 @ 9.95% ( 0-0 @ 7% ( 2-2 @ 3.54% ( Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.1% | 0-1 @ 5.19% ( 1-2 @ 3.69% ( 0-2 @ 1.92% ( 1-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.97% Total : 13.69% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 24 |
| 2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 24 |
| 3 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 15 |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 14 |
| 7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | DC United | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Orlando City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Toronto | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 12 |
| 14 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 9 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | St Louis City | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 20 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 |
| 5 | Dallas | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 11 |
| 12 | Austin FCAustin | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 6 |
| 14 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 16 | -11 | 6 |
