Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 61.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 17.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.