Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 59.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 19.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 1-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.