Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 59.94%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 18.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.