Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and America Mineiro.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Athletico PR 0-1 Flamengo
Thursday, August 18 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Thursday, August 18 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Corinthians | 22 | 5 | 39 |
| 5 | Athletico Paranaense | 22 | 1 | 37 |
| 6 | Internacional | 22 | 10 | 36 |
Last Game: America Mineiro 2-2 Sao Paulo
Friday, August 19 at 1am in Copa do Brasil
Friday, August 19 at 1am in Copa do Brasil
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Bragantino | 22 | 4 | 30 |
| 10 | America Mineiro | 22 | -5 | 30 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 4 | 29 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 53.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 20.99%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | America Mineiro |
53.25% ( -0.14) | 25.76% ( -0.03) | 20.99% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 45.18% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
