Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magdeburg win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Magdeburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Jahn Regensburg win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Magdeburg in this match.