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Ligue 1

Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Apr 20, 2025 at 4.15pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Lens logo

Brest
1 - 3
Lens

Lees-Melou (13')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Koyalipou (17'), El Aynaoui (45+7' pen.), Said (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions
Last Game: St Etienne 3-3 Brest
Sunday, April 13 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Lens

All competitions
Last Game: Lens 0-2 Reims
Friday, April 11 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Brest had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
BrestDrawLens
31.71% (0.026 0.03)25.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)42.66% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.44% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.56% (0.037999999999997 0.04)49.44% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.52% (0.033999999999999 0.03)71.48% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.75% (0.037000000000006 0.04)29.25% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.79% (0.043999999999997 0.04)65.2% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.94% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)23.05% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)56.88% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Brest 31.71%
    Lens 42.66%
    Draw 25.62%
BrestDrawLens
1-0 @ 8.29% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 7.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 5.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 0.94% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 31.71%
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 6.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 9.89% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.92% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 7.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 1.6%
0-4 @ 1.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 42.66%

How you voted: Brest vs Lens

Brest
71.7%
Draw
21.7%
Lens
6.5%
46
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 2
Lens
2-0
Brest
Chavez (19'), Le Cardinal (45' og.)
Labeau (17'), Khusanov (83')
Machado (88')

Amavi (25'), Faivre (67'), Magnetti (67')
> Preview
Mar 9, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 25
Lens
1-0
Brest
Aguilar (32')
Khusanov (7')

Magnetti (69'), Satriano (90+2')
> Preview
Aug 13, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 1
Brest
3-2
Lens
Del Castillo (45+2' pen., 87' pen.), Lala (56')
Lees-Melou (35'), Brassier (45+4')
Sotoca (10'), Machado (22')
Sotoca (48'), Medina (52'), Samba (85')
Thomasson (82')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 22
Brest
1-1
Lens
Le Douaron (54')
Gradit (83')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2023 8pm
Round of 32
Brest
1-3
Lens
Slimani (19')
Said (5'), Medina (30'), Thomasson (37')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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