Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Brest had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Lens |
31.71% (![]() | 25.62% (![]() | 42.66% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.44% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.56% (![]() | 49.44% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.52% (![]() | 71.48% (![]() |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.75% (![]() | 29.25% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.79% (![]() | 65.2% (![]() |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.94% (![]() | 23.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.11% (![]() | 56.88% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 8.29% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.48% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.1% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.06% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.25% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.09% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.71% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 6.74% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.49% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 9.89% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.92% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.26% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.37% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.55% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.6% 0-4 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.1% Total : 42.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 84 | 31 | 53 | 78 |
2 | Marseille | 31 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 66 | 43 | 23 | 58 |
3 | Lille | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 56 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 58 | 36 | 22 | 55 |
5 | Lyon | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 54 |
6 | Nice | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 54 |
7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 54 |
8 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 45 |
9 | Brest | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 44 |
10 | Auxerre | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
11 | Rennes | 31 | 12 | 2 | 17 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Toulouse | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 35 |
13 | Reims | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 33 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 32 |
15 | Angers | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 30 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 34 | 65 | -31 | 28 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 71 | -37 | 27 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 71 | -49 | 16 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |