Angers
Angers
AJ Auxerre
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Brest logo
Le Havre
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lens logo
Lille
Lille
Lyon
Lyon
Marseille
Marseille
Monaco
Monaco
Montpellier
Montpellier
Nantes
Nantes
Nice
Nice
PSG logo
PSG logo
Reims
Reims
Rennes
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Brest logo

Toulouse
2 - 4
Brest

Sierro (65'), King (78')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Bourgault (22'), Pereira Lage (26'), Doumbia (62'), Camara (90')
Lala (24'), Lees-Melou (28'), Pereira Lage (68'), Bizot (86'), Luc Evrad Zogbe (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Strasbourg 2-1 Toulouse
Sunday, March 16 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 0-0 Reims
Sunday, March 16 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Brest had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
ToulouseDrawBrest
38.85% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)26.53% (-0.029 -0.03)34.62% (0.119 0.12)
Both teams to score 52.28% (0.109 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.41% (0.133 0.13)52.58% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.76% (0.114 0.11)74.24% (-0.117 -0.12)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)26.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.38% (0.015000000000001 0.02)61.61% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.07% (0.13799999999999 0.14)28.93% (-0.141 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.19% (0.173 0.17)64.8% (-0.17699999999999 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 38.84%
    Brest 34.62%
    Draw 26.53%
ToulouseDrawBrest
1-0 @ 10.17% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.77% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.72% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 3% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.24%
4-0 @ 1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 38.84%
1-1 @ 12.62% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.65% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.53%
0-1 @ 9.49% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.83% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.88% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.24% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.43% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 34.62%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Brest

Toulouse
34.6%
Draw
30.8%
Brest
34.6%
26
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 5
Brest
2-0
Toulouse
Balde (21'), Faivre (90+1')
Pereira Lage (34'), Roy (36')
Roy (36')
May 19, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 34
Toulouse
0-3
Brest

Mawissa (53')
Camara (48'), Amavi (54'), Lala (90')
Pereira Lage (79'), Amavi (83')
Oct 8, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 8
Brest
1-1
Toulouse
Satriano (90+2')
Camara (45+5'), Brassier (70')
Magri (27')
Spierings (10'), Magri (79')
Apr 2, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 29
Brest
3-1
Toulouse
Mounie (33'), Le Douaron (63'), Camara (84')
Dallinga (10')
Jan 15, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 19
Toulouse
1-1
Brest
Aboukhlal (65')
Mounie (18')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616


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