MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 16:37:14| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Feb 14, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
AJ Auxerre

Brest
2 - 2
Auxerre

Ndiaye (60'), Ajorque (79')
Balde (25'), Ndiaye (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Perrin (18', 74')
Akpa (30'), Diousse (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brest 0-3 PSG
Tuesday, February 11 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Auxerre 2-2 Toulouse
Sunday, February 9 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 2-1 Auxerre

Brest should have plenty of momentum given their home form at Stade Francis-Le Ble, and we believe their resilience will win the day against an Auxerre side that are low on confidence and struggling to close out their matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
BrestDrawAuxerre
39.94% (0.473 0.47) 24.97% (-0.123 -0.12) 35.09% (-0.343 -0.34)
Both teams to score 57.67% (0.381 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.31% (0.517 0.52)45.69% (-0.512 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.99% (0.492 0.49)68.01% (-0.48399999999999 -0.48)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.25% (0.46900000000001 0.47)22.75% (-0.462 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.57% (0.687 0.69)56.44% (-0.679 -0.68)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.66% (0.046000000000006 0.05)25.35% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.87% (0.061 0.06)60.13% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Brest 39.94%
    Auxerre 35.09%
    Draw 24.96%
BrestDrawAuxerre
2-1 @ 8.68% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
1-0 @ 8.54% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.32% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.28% (0.087 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.12% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.063 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.16% (0.038 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 39.94%
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.95% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.77% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.96%
1-2 @ 8.04% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
0-1 @ 7.92% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-2 @ 5.43% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.68% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.49% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 0.94% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 35.09%

How you voted: Brest vs Auxerre

Brest
84.7%
Draw
12.5%
Auxerre
2.8%
72
Head to Head
Sep 27, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 6
Auxerre
3-0
Brest
Owusu (26'), Jubal (37' pen.), Traore (59')
Akpa (17'), Diomande (53')
May 14, 2023 2pm
Oct 2, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 9
Auxerre
1-1
Brest
Niang (86' pen.)
Slimani (64')
Feb 11, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Brest
1-0
Auxerre
Tacalfred (12' og.)
Castelletto (36'), Charbonnier (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG31246184315378
2Marseille31184966432358
3Lille31168749321756
4MonacoMonaco31167858362255
5Lyon31166962422054
6Nice31159759392054
7StrasbourgStrasbourg31159751381354
8Lens31136123537-245
9Brest31135134953-444
10Auxerre31118124545041
11Rennes31122174644238
12Toulouse3198143839-135
13Reims3189143242-1033
14NantesNantes31711133550-1532
15Angers3186172950-2130
16Le HavreLe Havre3184193465-3128
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne3176183471-3727
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier3144232271-4916


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