Le Havre0 - 1Brest
We said: Le Havre 0-2 Brest
Booking a place in the Champions League knockout phase has enabled Brest to focus their attention on the domestic campaign, and they are beginning to find their form in Ligue 1. Their opponents are in a tailspin and struggling to find any quality in the attacking third, and we believe that will continue Sunday seeing as Stade Brestois have had their way with the Normandy club through the years. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 53.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 21.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.12%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-0 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brest in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Brest.
| Result | ||
| Le Havre | Draw | Brest |
21.79% ( 0.3) | 24.69% ( 0.08) | 53.51% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 49.16% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.57% ( 0.01) | 52.43% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.89% ( 0.01) | 74.1% ( -0.01) |
| Le Havre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.1% ( 0.31) | 38.89% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.38% ( 0.29) | 75.62% ( -0.3) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.45% ( -0.15) | 19.55% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.54% ( -0.24) | 51.45% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Le Havre | Draw | Brest |
| 1-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.46% Total : 21.8% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.85% Total : 24.68% | 0-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 10.12% ( -0.1)1-2 @ 9.57% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.51% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 5.2% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.25% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.86% Total : 53.5% |
