Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13

Nov 30, 2024 at 6pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Ble

Brest
3 - 1
Strasbourg

Lala (12' pen.), Pereira Lage (45+1'), Del Castillo (90+2')
Balde (27'), Chardonnet (32'), Ajorque (43')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ouattara (85')
Mara (41'), Moreira (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Barcelona 3-0 Brest
Tuesday, November 26 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Strasbourg

All competitions

Last Game: Nice 2-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, November 24 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result
Brest	Draw	Strasbourg
49.32% ( 0.28)	24.84% ( -0.01)	25.83% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 53.11% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.6% (

-0.16)

49.4% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.55% (

-0.14)

71.44% (

0.14)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.94% (

0.05)

20.05% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.72% (

0.08)

52.27% (

-0.08)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.43% (

-0.3)

33.57% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.79% (

-0.33)

70.21% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

Brest 49.32%

Strasbourg 25.83%

Draw 24.84%

Brest	Draw	Strasbourg
1-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 49.32%	1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.84%	0-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.34% Total : 25.83%