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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8
Oct 19, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Rennes

Brest
1 - 1
Rennes

Del Castillo (54' pen.)
Ajorque (62'), Ndiaye (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jota (86')
Truffert (39'), Seidu (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brest 2-0 Le Havre
Sunday, October 6 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 1-2 Monaco
Saturday, October 5 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
BrestDrawRennes
42.78% (-0.561 -0.56)25.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)31.42% (0.569 0.57)
Both teams to score 53.74% (0.277 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.71% (0.242 0.24)50.29% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.76% (0.214 0.21)72.24% (-0.214 -0.21)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.63% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)23.37% (0.165 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.66% (-0.242 -0.24)57.34% (0.242 0.24)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.13% (0.51000000000001 0.51)29.87% (-0.51 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.04% (0.611 0.61)65.96% (-0.61199999999999 -0.61)
Score Analysis
    Brest 42.77%
    Rennes 31.42%
    Draw 25.8%
BrestDrawRennes
1-0 @ 10.14% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 8.91% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.38% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 42.77%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 6.98% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 8.43% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.41% (0.1 0.1)
0-2 @ 5.1% (0.093 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.98% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.049 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.05% (0.065 0.07)
1-4 @ 0.9% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 31.42%

How you voted: Brest vs Rennes

Brest
64.8%
Draw
33.3%
Rennes
1.9%
54
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2024 4.05pm
Gameweek 31
Rennes
4-5
Brest
Kalimuendo (4', 9'), Theate (68'), Terrier (79')
Terrier (45+1'), Matusiwa (56'), Kalimuendo (80'), Le Fee (90+6')
Mounie (11'), Omari (48' og.), Satriano (54'), Camara (66'), Brassier (90+6')
Lees-Melou (75')
Sep 2, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 4
Brest
0-0
Rennes
Del Castillo (27'), Martin (80'), Chardonnet (90+3')
Assignon (73')
Jun 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
Brest
1-2
Rennes
Belkebla (36' pen.)
Magnetti (42'), Lees-Melou (45+2'), Lemarechal (90+4')
Bourigeaud (13', 45+4')
Gouiri (42'), Meling (83'), Bourigeaud (85'), Alemdar (90+4')
Aug 31, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Rennes
3-1
Brest
Rodon (53'), Terrier (89'), Doue (90+1')
Assignon (61'), Tait (86')
Honorat (57')
Feb 6, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 23
Rennes
2-0
Brest
Laborde (20'), Terrier (90')
Martin (1'), Santamaria (31'), Terrier (59')