Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 62.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Rennes had a probability of 17.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 1-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Rennes win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Rennes |
| 62.1% ( | 20.29% ( | 17.61% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.44% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.64% ( | 39.35% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.31% ( | 61.69% ( |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.83% ( | 12.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.21% ( | 37.79% ( |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.25% ( | 35.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.48% ( | 72.51% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Rennes |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 2-0 @ 9.65% ( 1-0 @ 9.16% ( 3-1 @ 6.97% ( 3-0 @ 6.78% ( 4-1 @ 3.67% ( 3-2 @ 3.59% ( 4-0 @ 3.57% ( 4-2 @ 1.89% ( 5-1 @ 1.55% ( 5-0 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 3.86% Total : 62.1% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0-0 @ 4.35% ( 3-3 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.29% | 1-2 @ 4.85% ( 0-1 @ 4.47% ( 0-2 @ 2.3% ( 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 1-3 @ 1.66% ( Other @ 2.57% Total : 17.61% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 35 | 57 | 84 |
| 2 | Marseille | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74 | 47 | 27 | 65 |
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 61 |
| 4 | Nice | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66 | 41 | 25 | 60 |
| 5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 60 |
| 6 | Lyon | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 57 |
| 7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 57 |
| 8 | Lens | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 52 |
| 9 | Brest | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 50 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | Auxerre | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 42 |
| 12 | Rennes | 34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 41 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | Angers | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 36 |
| 15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40 | 71 | -31 | 34 |
| 16 | Reims | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 33 |
| R | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39 | 77 | -38 | 30 |
| R | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23 | 79 | -56 | 16 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
