Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Lille had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Lille win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
31.67% (![]() | 23.98% (![]() | 44.35% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.07% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.92% (![]() | 42.07% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.52% (![]() | 64.47% (![]() |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.35% (![]() | 25.65% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.45% (![]() | 60.54% (![]() |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.8% (![]() | 19.19% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.12% (![]() | 50.88% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 7.52% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.7% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.56% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.41% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.82% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.16% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 2.47% Total : 31.67% | 1-1 @ 11.05% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.21% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.92% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.55% ( ![]() Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 9.12% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.13% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.71% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.02% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.69% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.42% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.52% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.41% ( ![]() Other @ 3.27% Total : 44.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 84 | 31 | 53 | 78 |
2 | Marseille | 31 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 66 | 43 | 23 | 58 |
3 | Lille | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 56 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 58 | 36 | 22 | 55 |
5 | Lyon | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 54 |
6 | Nice | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 54 |
7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 54 |
8 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 45 |
9 | Brest | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 44 |
10 | Auxerre | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
11 | Rennes | 31 | 12 | 2 | 17 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Toulouse | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 35 |
13 | Reims | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 33 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 32 |
15 | Angers | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 30 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 34 | 65 | -31 | 28 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 71 | -37 | 27 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 71 | -49 | 16 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |