Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.27%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 23.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Lyon |
54.27% (![]() | 22.42% (![]() | 23.31% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.39% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.86% (![]() | 41.13% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.47% (![]() | 63.53% (![]() |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.87% (![]() | 15.13% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.3% (![]() | 43.7% (![]() |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.8% (![]() | 31.2% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.46% (![]() | 67.54% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Lyon |
2-1 @ 9.81% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.91% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.42% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.17% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.3% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.6% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.91% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.7% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.1% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.9% Total : 54.27% | 1-1 @ 10.38% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.71% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.72% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.4% ( ![]() Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.42% | 1-2 @ 6.05% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.5% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.2% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.35% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.24% ( ![]() Other @ 2.76% Total : 23.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |