Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 60.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 17.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lille.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Strasbourg |
60.59% (![]() | 21.74% | 17.67% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.62% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.21% (![]() | 45.79% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.89% (![]() | 68.11% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.34% (![]() | 14.66% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.2% (![]() | 42.8% (![]() |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.48% | 39.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.79% | 76.2% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Strasbourg |
1-0 @ 11.12% 2-0 @ 10.67% 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 6.84% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.35% 4-0 @ 3.28% 4-1 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.95% 4-2 @ 1.41% 5-0 @ 1.26% 5-1 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.57% Total : 60.58% | 1-1 @ 10.32% 0-0 @ 5.79% 2-2 @ 4.6% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.74% | 0-1 @ 5.38% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.79% 0-2 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.09% Total : 17.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |