Europa Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 11, 2024 at 8pm UK
Villa Park
Aston Villa2 - 1Lille
The Match
Match Report
Aston Villa record a 2-1 win over Lille in the first leg of their Europa Conference League quarter-final tie on Thursday night.
Team News
Unai Emery selects his Aston Villa XI for the first leg of the Europa Conference League quarter-final against Lille.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Aston Villa and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-3 Brentford
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Lille 3-1 Marseille
Friday, April 5 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Friday, April 5 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Lille had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aston Villa in this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Lille |
38.8% ( 0.04) | 24.66% ( 0.01) | 36.55% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 58.98% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
