

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 2-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| West Ham United | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 29.83% ( | 24.51% ( | 45.66% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.21% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.6% ( | 45.4% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.27% ( | 67.73% ( |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.51% ( | 28.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |||||
| 35.73% ( | 64.27% ( |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.01% ( | 19.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |||||
| 47.83% ( | 52.17% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| West Ham United | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 2-1 @ 7.23% ( 1-0 @ 7.15% ( 2-0 @ 4.49% ( 3-1 @ 3.03% ( 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 3-0 @ 1.88% ( 4-1 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.67% Total : 29.83% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 3-3 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 9.27% ( 0-1 @ 9.17% ( 0-2 @ 7.38% ( 1-3 @ 4.97% ( 0-3 @ 3.96% ( 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 1-4 @ 2% ( 0-4 @ 1.59% ( 2-4 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 45.66% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| Q | | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| 1 | | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 2 | | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
