Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 26

Feb 24, 2024 at 3pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
4 - 2
Nott'm Forest

Watkins (4'), Luiz (29', 39'), Bailey (61')
Moreno (57')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Niakhate (45+5'), Gibbs-White (48')
Murillo (15'), Felipe (45')

The Match

Match Report

A brace from Douglas Luiz in between goals from Ollie Watkins and Leon Bailey saw Aston Villa run out 4-2 winners against Nottingham Forest at Villa Park this afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Fulham 1-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nottingham Forest

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-0 West Ham
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aston Villa win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw has a probability of 19.9% and a win for Nottingham Forest has a probability of 18.05%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.04%) and 1-0 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it is 1-2 (4.94%).

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Nottingham Forest
62.04% ( 0.88)	19.9% ( -0.23)	18.05% ( -0.65)

Both teams to score 58.79% (

-0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.29% (

0.01)

36.7% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.13% (

0.01)

58.87% (

-0.01)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.61% (

0.24)

11.38% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.88% (

0.51)

36.11% (

-0.51)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.34% (

-0.67)

33.65% (

0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.69% (

-0.74)

70.3% (

0.74)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 62.04%

Nottingham Forest 18.05%

Draw 19.9%

Aston Villa	Draw	Nottingham Forest
2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 2.11% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.07) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.55% Total : 62.04%	1-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 3.83% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.9%	1-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.94% Total : 18.05%