Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 24

Feb 10, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

The City Ground

Nott'm Forest
2 - 3
Newcastle

Elanga (26'), Hudson-Odoi (45+6')
Gibbs-White (59')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Guimaraes (10', 66'), Schar (43')
Botman (58'), Wilson (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Bruno Guimaraes scores a brace as Newcastle United record a 3-2 victory over Nottingham Forest in Saturday's Premier League contest.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Bristol City (5-3 pen.)
Wednesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newcastle United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Newcastle 4-4 Luton
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 2-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Nottingham Forest	Draw	Newcastle United
31.53% ( 1.09)	24.18% ( -0.01)	44.28% ( -1.09)

Both teams to score 59.28% (

0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.91% (

0.52)

43.08% (

-0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.51% (

0.51)

65.48% (

-0.51)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.77% (

0.95)

26.23% (

-0.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.67% (

1.26)

61.33% (

-1.26)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.36% (

-0.25)

19.64% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.39% (

-0.41)

51.6% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest 31.53%

Newcastle United 44.28%

Draw 24.18%

Nottingham Forest	Draw	Newcastle United
2-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.35% Total : 31.53%	1-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.18%	1-2 @ 9.13% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.1% Total : 44.28%