Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 23

Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK

St. James' Park

Newcastle
4 - 4
Luton

Longstaff (7', 23'), Trippier (67'), Barnes (73')
Burn (56'), Murphy (76')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Osho (21'), Barkley (40'), Morris (59' pen.), Adebayo (62')
Sambi Lokonga (60'), Osho (90')

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United come from 4-2 behind to draw 4-4 with Luton Town in Saturday's thrilling Premier League contest at St James' Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Aston Villa 1-3 Newcastle
Tuesday, January 30 at 8.15pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Luton Town

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Luton 4-0 Brighton
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 52.91%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 24.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Luton Town
52.91% ( -1.08)	22.87% ( 0.44)	24.21% ( 0.64)

Both teams to score 57.93% (

-0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.75% (

-1.35)

42.25% (

1.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.35% (

-1.37)

64.65% (

1.37)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.02% (

-0.84)

15.98% (

0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.71% (

-1.58)

45.29% (

1.58)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.94% (

-0.2)

31.05% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.63% (

-0.23)

67.37% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 52.92%

Luton Town 24.21%

Draw 22.87%

Newcastle United	Draw	Luton Town
2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.49% Total : 52.92%	1-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.29) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.87%	1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.82% Total : 24.21%