

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 74.11%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 9.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.07%) and 3-0 (10.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.95%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 74.11% ( | 16.78% ( | 9.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.28% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.27% ( | 43.73% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.88% ( | 66.12% ( |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.77% ( | 10.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |||||
| 66.44% ( | 33.56% ( |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.21% ( | 51.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |||||
| 14.14% ( | 85.86% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 2-0 @ 13.76% 1-0 @ 12.07% 3-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 3-1 @ 6.89% ( 4-0 @ 5.96% ( 4-1 @ 3.92% ( 5-0 @ 2.72% ( 3-2 @ 2.27% 5-1 @ 1.79% ( 4-2 @ 1.29% 6-0 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.88% Total : 74.1% | 1-1 @ 7.95% ( 0-0 @ 5.3% ( 2-2 @ 2.98% ( Other @ 0.55% Total : 16.78% | 0-1 @ 3.49% ( 1-2 @ 2.62% ( 0-2 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 1.86% Total : 9.11% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| Q | | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| 1 | | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 2 | | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
