Spurs

4 - 1

Newcastle

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.