

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 52.63%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 24.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 2-1 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bournemouth | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 24.08% ( | 23.29% ( | 52.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.35% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.73% ( | 44.27% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.35% ( | 66.65% ( |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.74% ( | 32.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |||||
| 31.24% ( | 68.76% ( |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.18% ( | 16.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |||||
| 53.2% ( | 46.8% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bournemouth | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 2-1 @ 6.19% ( 1-0 @ 6.14% ( 2-0 @ 3.47% ( 3-1 @ 2.33% ( 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 3-0 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 2.56% Total : 24.08% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 3-3 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.29% | 1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0-1 @ 9.67% ( 0-2 @ 8.62% ( 1-3 @ 5.8% ( 0-3 @ 5.12% ( 2-3 @ 3.28% ( 1-4 @ 2.58% ( 0-4 @ 2.28% ( 2-4 @ 1.46% ( 1-5 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 3.13% Total : 52.63% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| Q | | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| 1 | | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 2 | | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
