Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 58.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 20.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 1-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.