Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 6

Sep 24, 2023 at 2pm UK

The American Express Community Stadium

Brighton
3 - 1
Bournemouth

Kerkez (45+2' og.), Mitoma (46', 77')
Veltman (37'), Gilmour (45+3'), Dunk (75')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Solanke (25')
Zabarnyi (41'), Brooks (89'), Senesi (90+6')

The Match

Match Report

Roberto de Zerbi's inspired substitutions earn Brighton & Hove Albion a 3-1 win over Bournemouth at The American Express Community Stadium this afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Brighton 2-3 AEK Athens
Thursday, September 21 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bournemouth

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Bournemouth 0-0 Chelsea
Sunday, September 17 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 63.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 16.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 1-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Bournemouth
63.46% ( -0.03)	19.66% ( -0.01)	16.87% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 57.1% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.25% (

0.14)

37.74% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.01% (

0.15)

59.99% (

-0.15)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.69% (

0.03)

11.31% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.03% (

0.07)

35.96% (

-0.08)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.39% (

0.13)

35.61% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.62% (

0.14)

72.38% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 63.46%

Bournemouth 16.87%

Draw 19.66%

Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Bournemouth
2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.79% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.65% Other @ 4.35% Total : 63.46%	1-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.66%	1-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.15% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 16.87%