Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 19

Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK

Bramall Lane

Sheff Utd
2 - 3
Luton

McBurnie (61'), Ahmedhodzic (69')
Ahmedhodzic (14'), Hamer (41'), Baldock (77'), Robinson (79'), Norwood (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Doughty (17'), Robinson (77' og.), Ben Slimane (81' og.)

The Match

Match Report

Sheffield United become the first-ever Premier League team to score two own goals after the 75th minute as Luton Town sink the Blades 3-2 in an thrilling basement battle.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Sheffield United and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sheffield United

All competitions

Last Game: Aston Villa 1-1 Sheff Utd
Friday, December 22 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 1-0 Newcastle
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Sheffield United	Draw	Luton Town
38.53% ( 0.02)	26.6% ( -0.03)	34.87% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 52.1% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.17% (

0.12)

52.83% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.55% (

0.11)

74.45% (

-0.1)

Sheffield United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.27% (

0.07)

26.73% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38% (

0.09)

62% (

-0.09)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.11% (

0.07)

28.89% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.23% (

0.08)

64.76% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Sheffield United 38.52%

Luton Town 34.87%

Draw 26.6%

Sheffield United	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 38.52%	1-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.6%	0-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 34.87%