Premier League | Gameweek 22
Jan 30, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Villa Park
Aston Villa1 - 3Newcastle
The Match
Match Report
Fabian Schar scores a first-half brace to lead Newcastle United to a 3-1 away victory over Aston Villa in the Premier League.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chelsea 0-0 Aston Villa
Friday, January 26 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Friday, January 26 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Fulham 0-2 Newcastle
Saturday, January 27 at 7pm in FA Cup
Saturday, January 27 at 7pm in FA Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 51.5%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Newcastle United |
51.5% ( 0.03) | 22.73% ( 0.03) | 25.77% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 60.11% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
