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J1 League | Gameweek 11
Apr 20, 2025 at 6am UK
Minato Soccer Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
2 - 1
Hiroshima

Mateus (40', 48')
Mateus (41'), Nagai (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Suga (81')
Nakano (64')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gamba Osaka 2-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, April 12 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 0-1 Okayama
Saturday, April 12 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 49.31%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 25.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 1-0 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
25.29% (0.326 0.33) 25.4% (0.191 0.19) 49.31% (-0.513 -0.51)
Both teams to score 50.9% (-0.267 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.94% (-0.5 -0.5)52.06% (0.505 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.21% (-0.435 -0.43)73.79% (0.44 0.44)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.54% (0.007000000000005 0.01)35.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)72.23% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.87% (-0.422 -0.42)21.13% (0.426 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.02% (-0.661 -0.66)53.98% (0.664 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 25.29%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 49.3%
    Draw 25.39%
Nagoya GrampusDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 7.77% (0.156 0.16)
2-1 @ 6.26% (0.046 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.03% (0.081 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.16% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.68% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.39% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2%
Total : 25.29%
1-1 @ 12.07% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 7.49% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 11.64% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.39% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 9.05% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.86% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
0-3 @ 4.69% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.89% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.82% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 49.3%

Head to Head
Aug 17, 2024 11am
Gameweek 27
Nagoya Grampus
1-2
Hiroshima
Junker (88')
Izumi (79')
Araki (48'), Kato (55')
Kawabe (45+1')
May 6, 2024 7am
Gameweek 12
Hiroshima
2-3
Nagoya Grampus
Koshimichi (23'), Nakano (48')
Patric (2'), Inagaki (18'), Sasaki (84' og.)
Morishima (45+4')
Sep 30, 2023 11am
Gameweek 29
Hiroshima
3-1
Nagoya Grampus
Nakatani (72' og.), Vieira (81' pen.), Ezequiel (85')
Skibbe (45'), Ezequiel (86')
Junker (57')
Morishita (38'), Uchida (48'), Kawazura (77'), Langerak (77')
May 20, 2023 7am
Gameweek 14
Nagoya Grampus
2-1
Hiroshima
Junker (43', 48')
Yonemoto (29'), Nakatani (35'), Morishita (77')
Nagai (37' og.)
Araki (50')
Sep 17, 2022 11am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers17121427121537
2Kashiwa ReysolReysol179622013733
3Kyoto Sanga189452721631
4Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa178542115629
5Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima169251612429
6Machida Zelvia177372018224
7Vissel KobeVissel Kobe157351614224
8Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka177282124-323
9Cerezo OsakaCerezo166462422222
10Shimizu S-PulseShimizu S-Pulse176472120122
11Avispa Fukuoka176471517-222
12Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki145632214821
13Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare176381220-821
14Tokyo Verdy175571218-620
15Fagiano OkayamaOkayama165471113-219
16FC Tokyo165471720-319
17Yokohama FCYokohama FC175391117-618
18Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus174581925-617
19Albirex Niigata152761621-513
20Yokohama F MarinosYokohama151591123-128


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