Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 15

May 18, 2025 at 7pm UK

Parque Federico Omar Saroldi

Progreso
1 - 2
Juventud

Mas (76' og.)
Garcia (73'), Colombino (74'), Carroso Pais (78'), Cougo (81'), Olivera (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Chagas (25'), Rodriguez (64')
Barrandeguy (57')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Juventud.

Form, Standings, Stats

Progreso

All competitions

Last Game: Torque 2-3 Progreso
Sunday, May 4 at 2.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Juventud

All competitions

Last Game: Juventud 1-0 Liverpool
Sunday, May 4 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventud win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventud win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Progreso win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventud would win this match.

Result
Progreso	Draw	Juventud
31.61% ( -0.11)	26.5% ( 0.28)	41.89% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 51.61% (

-0.91)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.92% (

-1.15)

53.08% (

1.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.33% (

-0.99)

74.66% (

0.99)

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.85% (

-0.66)

31.15% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.52% (

-0.77)

67.48% (

0.78)

Juventud Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.95% (

-0.61)

25.05% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.28% (

-0.84)

59.72% (

0.84)

Score Analysis

Progreso 31.61%

Juventud 41.89%

Draw 26.49%

Progreso	Draw	Juventud
1-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.96% Total : 31.61%	1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.49%	0-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.48% Total : 41.89%