Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 37

May 18, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Sardegna Arena

Cagliari
3 - 0
Venezia

Mina (11'), Piccoli (41'), Deiola (71')
Deiola (14')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Idzes (4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Venezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions

Last Game: Como 3-1 Cagliari
Saturday, May 10 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Venezia

All competitions

Last Game: Venezia 2-1 Fiorentina
Monday, May 12 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 46.87%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Venezia
46.87% ( 1.3)	25.63% ( -0.36)	27.49% ( -0.94)

Both teams to score 52% (

0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.49% (

0.89)

51.5% (

-0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.69% (

0.77)

73.3% (

-0.78)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.03% (

0.97)

21.97% (

-0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.74% (

1.46)

55.26% (

-1.46)

Venezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.64% (

-0.26)

33.36% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.01% (

-0.29)

69.98% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Cagliari 46.87%

Venezia 27.49%

Draw 25.63%

Cagliari	Draw	Venezia
1-0 @ 11.1% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.28% Total : 46.87%	1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.63%	0-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.35) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.41% Total : 27.49%