Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elversberg win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 37.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elversberg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.84%) and 0-2 (5.45%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Elversberg in this match.