Major League Soccer

May 18, 2025 at 12.15am UK

Lower.com Field

Columbus Crew
1 - 1
Cincinnati

Rossi (54' pen., 54' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-2)

Denkey (6', 6')
Bucha (19'), Bucha (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between Columbus Crew and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Columbus Crew

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Montreal 1-1 Columbus Crew
Thursday, May 15 at 12.30am in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Toronto 0-1 Cincinnati
Thursday, May 15 at 12.30am in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 52.88%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 25.25% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Columbus Crew	Draw	FC Cincinnati
52.88% ( -0.24)	21.87% ( 0.21)	25.25% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 62.67% (

-0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.48% (

-1.01)

36.52% (

1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.33% (

-1.11)

58.67% (

1.12)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.02% (

-0.42)

13.98% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.51% (

-0.84)

41.49% (

0.85)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.85% (

-0.52)

27.15% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.45% (

-0.68)

62.55% (

0.69)

Score Analysis

Columbus Crew 52.88%

FC Cincinnati 25.25%

Draw 21.87%

Columbus Crew	Draw	FC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.67% Total : 52.88%	1-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.87%	1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.85% Total : 25.25%

How you voted: Columbus Crew vs Cincinnati

Columbus Crew

60.0%

Draw

20.0%

FC Cincinnati

20.0%

Head to Head

Sep 15, 2024 12.30am

Cincinnati

0-0

Columbus Crew

Awaziem (78'), Nwobodo (88')

Camilo Hernandez (68')

> Preview

May 12, 2024 12.45am

Columbus Crew

1-2

Cincinnati

Arfsten (89')
Zawadzki (38'), Camacho (80')

Kelsy (74'), Acosta (76')
Miazga (34'), Kubo (37'), Nwobodo (70')

> Preview

Dec 2, 2023 11pm

Cincinnati

2-3

Columbus Crew

Vazquez (14'), Acosta (45+3')
Acosta (73'), Badji (82'), Vazquez (99'), Mosquera (117')

Powell (75' og.), Rossi (86'), Ramirez (115')
Moreira (45+2'), Gressel (120+1')

> Preview

Aug 21, 2023 12.30am

Columbus Crew

3-0

Cincinnati

Morris (15'), Camilo Hernandez (23' pen.), Russell-Rowe (90+6')

Nwobodo (45+2'), Arias (76')

> Preview

May 21, 2023 12.30am

Cincinnati

3-2

Columbus Crew

Acosta (17', 23' pen.), Moreno (67')
Miazga (63')

Zelarayan (40'), Amundsen (52')
Amundsen (72')

> Preview

Form Guide

Montreal 1-1 Columbus Crew

Philadelphia 2-2 Columbus Crew

Columbus Crew 4-2 Charlotte FC

Columbus Crew 2-1 Earthquakes

Columbus Crew 0-1 Inter Miami

St Louis City 1-2 Columbus Crew

Toronto 0-1 Cincinnati

Cincinnati 2-1 Austin

NY City 1-0 Cincinnati

Cincinnati 2-1 Kansas

Chicago Fire 2-3 Cincinnati

DC United 0-1 Cincinnati

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

Eastern Conference

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Philadelphia Union Philadelphia	14	8	3	3	24	12	12	27
2	Columbus Crew	14	7	5	2	22	18	4	26
3	FC Cincinnati Cincinnati	15	8	2	5	21	21	0	26
4	Inter Miami Inter Miami	13	7	3	3	26	19	7	24
5	New York City FC NY City	15	7	3	5	20	17	3	24
6	Nashville SC Nashville	14	6	4	4	24	17	7	22
7	Charlotte FC Charlotte FC	14	7	1	6	22	18	4	22
8	Chicago Fire	15	6	4	5	28	28	0	22
9	Orlando City	14	5	6	3	25	18	7	21
10	New York Red Bulls NY Red Bulls	14	6	3	5	21	15	6	21
11	New England Revolution New England	13	6	3	4	15	10	5	21
12	DC United	14	4	4	6	15	26	-11	16
13	Toronto	14	3	4	7	16	19	-3	13
14	Atlanta United Atlanta	15	3	4	8	17	27	-10	13
15	CF Montreal Montreal	14	1	3	10	7	25	-18	6

Western Conference

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver	13	8	4	1	24	10	14	28
2	Minnesota United Minnesota Utd	14	8	4	2	25	13	12	28
3	Portland Timbers Portland	13	6	4	3	23	20	3	22
4	Seattle Sounders Seattle	14	5	5	4	23	18	5	20
5	Los Angeles FC Los Angeles	13	5	4	4	21	20	1	19
6	Colorado Rapids Colorado	13	5	4	4	16	18	-2	19
7	San Jose Earthquakes Earthquakes	14	5	2	7	27	22	5	17
8	Dallas	14	4	5	5	15	22	-7	17
9	Austin FC Austin	14	5	2	7	8	17	-9	17
10	St Louis City	14	3	4	7	11	18	-7	13
11	Houston Dynamo Houston	14	3	4	7	14	22	-8	13
12	Real Salt Lake Salt Lake	14	4	1	9	13	21	-8	13
13	Sporting Kansas City Kansas	13	3	2	8	19	23	-4	11
14	Los Angeles Galaxy LA Galaxy	13	1	4	8	12	29	-17	7
15	San Diego FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0